Aaa Technologies Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,244.12
1 Week
5,084.22
1 Month
6,209.26
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1705 | 7.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8165 | 111.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1705 | -6.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 174.81*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9934 | 393.12*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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