How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	126
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1216	7.10***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8857	452.12***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0798	-3.28***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0238	21.78***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.01
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9985	1,259.16***

V-Lab

People Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other People Co Ltd Analyses