V-Lab
Global Dining Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
2,530.93
1 Week
3,247.51
1 Month
6,196.76
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.2230 | 14.69*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8030 | 74.42*** |
| γleverage | -0.1447 | -9.02*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2779 | 1.46 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9973 | 226.09*** |
0.954
Persistence15d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2230 | 14.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8030 | 74.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1447 | -9.02*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2779 | 1.46 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9973 | 226.09*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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