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V-Lab

Global Dining Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

2,530.93

decreased by 614.84

1 Week

3,247.51

increased by 101.74

1 Month

6,196.76

increased by 3,050.99

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Global Dining Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2230
14.69***
βGARCH0.8030
74.42***
γleverage-0.1447
-9.02***
λ₁tau intercept0.2779
1.46
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9973
226.09***

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2230
14.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8030
74.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1447
-9.02***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2779
1.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9973
226.09***

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days