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Global Dining Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

2,804.75

decreased by 496.04

1 Week

3,388.66

increased by 87.87

1 Month

5,995.64

increased by 2,694.85

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Global Dining Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 36% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 36% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.70*
αARCH0.1286
6.80***
βGARCH0.8482
78.63***
γleverage0.0465
2.00**

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.70*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1286
6.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8482
78.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0465
2.00**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-