Yiho International Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
54,725.30
1 Week
55,656.55
1 Month
54,861.42
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2022 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 349 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1866 | 4.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9047 | 333.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1866 | -2.47** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,168,892.0000 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
349 days
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