V-Lab
Kannanmaru Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8,774.70
1 Week
4,878.04
1 Month
2,889.88
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1717 | 1.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7894 | 96.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1717 | -0.77 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.0904 | 2.83*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0370 | 2.45** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9622 | 114.37*** |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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