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Kyoei Security Service Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,773.09

increased by 121.78

1 Week

2,809.97

decreased by 841.34

1 Month

2,603.62

decreased by 1,047.69

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kyoei Security Service Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 18, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0681
14.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9367
411.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0096
-1.50

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-