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And Factory Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

5,515.07

decreased by 550.30

1 Week

5,731.51

decreased by 333.86

1 Month

6,296.11

increased by 230.74

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of And Factory Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 6, 2018 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1355 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1566
61.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8557
358.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0257
-8.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1,511.2280

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1355 days