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V-Lab

Nichidai Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,808.34

increased by 1,254.97

1 Week

6,180.85

increased by 627.48

1 Month

4,836.82

decreased by 716.55

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nichidai Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.1553
13.13***
βGARCH0.8675
97.39***
γleverage-0.1553
-11.26***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.80
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
1.67*
λ₃tau persistence0.6422
45.82***

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1553
13.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8675
97.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1553
-11.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.80
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
1.67*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6422
45.82***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days