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Prolific Technology Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

3,126.73

decreased by 173.16

1 Week

3,396.50

increased by 96.61

1 Month

4,155.78

increased by 855.89

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 12:24 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prolific Technology Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.10
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9460
15.57***
γleverage0.1080
0.21

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9460
15.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1080
0.21

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-