How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	41
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2000	3.01***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7982	220.98***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0163	-0.13
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0125	5.76***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.01
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9980	648.91***

V-Lab

CITIC Securities Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other CITIC Securities Co Ltd Analyses