V-Lab
Kogi Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
4,955.46
1 Week
2,378.71
1 Month
1,933.26
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1651 | 0.41 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8514 | 158.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1651 | -0.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.8108 | 0.48 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4369 | 2.18** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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