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Asahi Rubber Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

6,854.07

increased by 3,754.35

1 Week

3,621.49

increased by 521.77

1 Month

3,487.23

increased by 387.51

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahi Rubber Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 1998 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
1.07
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8882
398.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0442
-0.30
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3898
1.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0135
0.71
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0014
1.08

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

80 days