Ricksoft Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,143.00
1 Week
5,720.40
1 Month
7,629.09
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 36% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1871 | 8.98*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7067 | 19.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.0671 | 2.01** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 6.5275 | 3.22*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1885 | 10.90*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8115 | 45.12*** |
0.927
Persistence9d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1871 | 8.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7067 | 19.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0671 | 2.01** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.5275 | 3.22*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1885 | 10.90*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8115 | 45.12*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
Other Ricksoft Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities