V-Lab
Ricksoft Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
3,023.54
1 Week
3,077.26
1 Month
3,394.03
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1884 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7037 | 3.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0885 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.1390 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2315 | 0.04 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7685 | 0.40 |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
Other Ricksoft Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities