Osaka Yuka Industr ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
9,009.46
1 Week
4,491.24
1 Month
3,431.01
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2135 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8125 | 59.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2135 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0326 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9261 | 1.89* |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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