V-Lab
Bluememe Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
6,480.30
1 Week
5,149.08
1 Month
4,001.23
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1248 | 0.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8744 | 33.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1248 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.63 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0215 | 0.29 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9582 | 12.89*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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