V-Lab
Haosen Fintech Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
32,462.18
1 Week
10,281.58
1 Month
4,014.15
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 21, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2817 | 0.20 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7597 | 49.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2817 | -0.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.4821 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1154 | 0.24 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8846 | 9.88*** |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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