Skip to main content
V-Lab

Information Planning Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

4,604.60

decreased by 314.19

1 Week

2,837.92

decreased by 2,080.87

1 Month

1,781.50

decreased by 3,137.29

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Information Planning Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 2, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0689
27.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8959
439.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0704
10.55***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days