How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	5.0000	0.68
αARCH	0.0853	0.99
βGARCH	0.8284	20.82***
γleverage	0.1312	0.94

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	5.0000	0.68
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0853	0.99
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8284	20.82***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1312	0.94

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Jiangxi Avonflow Hvac Tech Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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