V-Lab
Festaria Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
4,737.89
1 Week
4,601.64
1 Month
6,116.61
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2002 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1377 | 3.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8651 | 350.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1377 | -2.34** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.9150 | 7.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9950 | 540.19*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
Other Festaria Holdings Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities