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V-Lab

Shanghai REFIRE Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,059.15

decreased by 274.43

1 Week

3,800.10

increased by 466.52

1 Month

2,572.91

decreased by 760.67

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai REFIRE Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 17% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4282
57.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4730
74.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0724
11.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3,037.0920

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days