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Kedge Construction Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

752.01

increased by 140.24

1 Week

589.43

decreased by 22.34

1 Month

636.39

increased by 24.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kedge Construction Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 20, 2001 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 143% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0795
21.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8636
429.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1138
18.51***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-