Uniform Industrial ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
1,874.25
1 Week
2,136.39
1 Month
3,129.02
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 15, 2002 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2011 | 6.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8157 | 219.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0695 | -1.22 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 766.13*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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