Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,333.67
1 Week
5,533.64
1 Month
6,393.19
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 301% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0082 | 3.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9795 | 1,401.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0246 | 3.23*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities