V-Lab
Nms Holdings Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
427.06
1 Week
362.07
1 Month
231.03
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 25, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2839 | 2.30** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7109 | 61.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2839 | -1.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4080 | 3.32*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0283 | 2.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9674 | 223.78*** |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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