V-Lab
Ching Chan Optical Techno ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
15,270.08
1 Week
9,247.03
1 Month
4,013.36
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 6, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1622 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8620 | 101.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1217 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0013 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4794 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
19 days
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