V-Lab
China Aluminum Int Engr Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
6,549.76
1 Week
5,270.34
1 Month
6,373.03
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4430 | 0.72 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6442 | 41.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4430 | -0.36 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2789 | 0.93 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0425 | 0.72 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9575 | 396.17*** |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
Other China Aluminum Int Engr Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities