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Wei Chih Steel Ind ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

4,888.23

decreased by 324.07

1 Week

5,626.98

increased by 414.68

1 Month

6,047.59

increased by 835.29

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wei Chih Steel Ind ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1997 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2254 trading days (~8.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2254 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.2127
16.02***
βGARCH0.8128
74.94***
γleverage-0.0515
-4.65***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9999
68.67***

1.000

Persistence

2254d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2127
16.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8128
74.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0515
-4.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9999
68.67***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2254 days