V-Lab
ITC Properties Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
11,777.78
1 Week
11,024.37
1 Month
14,499.33
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2076 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8184 | 15.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2076 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0258 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9742 | 30.01*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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