Fuji Ps Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
1,826.26
1 Week
1,972.34
1 Month
2,239.29
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 1995 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1094 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7688 | 1.30 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1094 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.3880 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1491 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8509 | 0.30 |
Persistence:
0.823
Half-life:
4 days
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