V-Lab
Jia Yao Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,511.50
1 Week
2,595.00
1 Month
3,446.10
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 27, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1305 | 4.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8845 | 224.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1305 | -2.51** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9954 | 798.27*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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