Red Star Macalline Group Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
3,400.85
1 Week
4,192.27
1 Month
5,409.78
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2015 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3017 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4871 | 3.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3017 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2388 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7612 | 0.92 |
Persistence:
0.638
Half-life:
2 days
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