V-Lab
Hatch Work Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
7,147.78
1 Week
6,615.50
1 Month
7,026.41
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 26, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1747 | 6.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8600 | 134.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1747 | -6.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0036 | 8.41*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0056 | 6.97*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8816 | 186.94*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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