V-Lab
Canbridge Pharmaceuticals IN ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
15,010.57
1 Week
7,865.12
1 Month
10,246.89
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1663 | 0.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8876 | 87.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1177 | -0.21 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1074 | 1.91* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7475 | 2.56** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
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