V-Lab
Canbridge Pharmaceuticals IN Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
12,985.74
increased by 4,621.36
1 Week
7,283.63
decreased by 1,080.75
1 Month
9,788.92
increased by 1,424.54
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.17 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1074 | 9.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8824 | 168.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0205 | 0.99 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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