V-Lab
Sfa Engineering Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
9.43
decreased by 0.24
1 Week
9.85
increased by 0.18
1 Month
10.39
increased by 0.72
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 176% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 176% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0434 | 3.12*** |
| αARCH | 0.0556 | 4.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8850 | 119.99*** |
| γleverage | 0.0980 | 4.66*** |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0434 | 3.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0556 | 4.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8850 | 119.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0980 | 4.66*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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