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SPIC Green Energy Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

104.95

increased by 28.52

1 Week

79.45

increased by 3.02

1 Month

80.66

increased by 4.23

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SPIC Green Energy Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2002 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 118% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
11.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1939
8.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6912
38.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2297
18.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-