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Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.37
1 Week
30.52
1 Month
34.58
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4182 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7047 | 81.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3559 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9724 | 7.77*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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