iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
1.80%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
1.80%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
1.81%
decreased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 11.00 | |
| 0.0586 | 34.49 | |
| 0.9414 | 569.83 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
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