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V-Lab

Rivian Automotive Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

72.24%

increased by 4.87%

1 Week

72.80%

increased by 5.43%

1 Month

74.65%

increased by 7.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Rivian Automotive Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

26.9384
3.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0597
14.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9734
115.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4613
3.37***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days