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V-Lab

RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

24.87%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

24.86%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Month

24.75%

decreased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.0947
2.45**
βGARCH0.8974
26.63***
γleverage-0.0947
-2.47**
λ₁tau intercept0.7714
1.21
λ₂forecast adj.0.5741
2.70***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0947
2.45**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8974
26.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0947
-2.47**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7714
1.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5741
2.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days