V-Lab
RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
22.84%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
23.17%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Month
24.36%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0309 | 1.79* |
| αARCH | 0.1311 | 2.88*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9774 | 92.22*** |
| γleverage | 0.0377 | 0.84 |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0309 | 1.79* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1311 | 2.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9774 | 92.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0377 | 0.84 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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