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RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

23.58%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

23.66%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Month

23.95%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. The volatility power δ = 1.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-lifeδ = 1.57 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0455
2.07**
αARCH0.0606
2.10**
βGARCH0.9214
32.00***
γleverage-0.4071
-1.24
δpower1.5718
4.00***

0.978

Persistence

32d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0455
2.07**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0606
2.10**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9214
32.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4071
-1.24
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5718
4.00***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

32 days