V-Lab
RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
26.69%
decreased by 2.06%
1 Week
26.39%
decreased by 2.36%
1 Month
25.63%
decreased by 3.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1402 | 1.73* |
| αARCH | 0.1177 | 5.32*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8043 | 51.98*** |
| γleverage | -0.6241 | -1.11 |
0.922
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1402 | 1.73* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1177 | 5.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8043 | 51.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.6241 | -1.11 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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