V-Lab
RB Capital Desenvolvimento Residencial IV FII Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
27.20%
increased by 2.13%
1 Week
27.53%
increased by 2.46%
1 Month
28.73%
increased by 3.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 6, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 65-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0675 | 3.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.1715 | 4.08*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8581 | 67.46*** |
| γleverage | -0.0805 | -1.11 |
0.989
Persistence65d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0675 | 3.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1715 | 4.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8581 | 67.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0805 | -1.11 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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