V-Lab
Song Hong Aluminium Jsc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
29.95%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
32.95%
increased by 2.46%
1 Month
41.52%
increased by 11.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 6, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4732 | 13.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1544 | 14.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8369 | 151.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0331 | -1.96* |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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