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V-Lab

Song Hong Aluminium Jsc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

29.95%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

32.95%

increased by 2.46%

1 Month

41.52%

increased by 11.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Song Hong Aluminium Jsc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 6, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4732
13.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1544
14.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8369
151.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0331
-1.96*

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days