National Refinery Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:56.29% (+1.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0027 | 6.41 | |
| 0.1860 | 11.98 | |
| 0.6342 | 19.70 | |
| -0.0512 | -1.25 | |
| 0.0285 | 0.50 | |
| 0.0716 | 2.14 | |
| -0.0954 | -2.64 | |
| 0.0858 | 2.22 | |
| -0.0121 | -0.35 | |
| -0.0947 | -2.97 | |
| 0.1695 | 4.03 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 13, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 13, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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