National Refinery Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:37.34% (-1.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3258 | 13.87 | |
| 0.0985 | 31.63 | |
| 0.8584 | 216.67 | |
| 0.0056 | 0.68 | |
| 2.2577 | 36.99 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 13, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 13, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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