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V-Lab

Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

345.24%

decreased by 5.61%

1 Week

322.81%

decreased by 28.04%

1 Month

263.34%

decreased by 87.51%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1273
1.44
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2527
14.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7473
34.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0581
1.44
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
2.75***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days