Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
277.94%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Week
275.81%
decreased by 2.97%
1 Month
268.40%
decreased by 10.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.94 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0067 | 1.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9692 | 35.35*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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